来源:上海有色网 | 2022-10-13 09:24:58 |
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据SMM统计,9月国内硅片产量约为31GW,环比大增18%,国内硅片产量连续两个月出现增长,国内硅片产量为何大增?硅料供应是否继续维持紧缺状态?
SMM了解到造成9月国内硅料供应增长的原因主要有以下几个方面:首先,随着国内硅料供应的增加,原料“卡脖子”限制硅片产能释放的情况大大缓解,9月硅料产量共计7.62万吨,环比8月出现23%的巨额增幅。其次,9月随着限电的结束以及地震等突发因素的消除,国内硅片生产的利空因素消失,硅片产量随即得到提升,SMM了解到9月国内一线硅片企业开工率维持在75-85%之间,部分二三线企业受下游需求的好转开工率甚至达到100%。
对于目前硅料供应情况,根据9月数据可以看出,目前硅料紧缺情况虽大大缓解,但目前消费量仍大于供应量,同时随着10月月单签单以持稳的结果结束,预示本月硅料价格也难以出现拐点。但随着硅料供应增速的不断增加,硅料过剩局面或即将到来,届时价格拐点将真正出现。
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