来源:上海有色网 | 2022-11-08 17:41:38 |
(资料图)
据SMM统计,10月国内组件产量约为27.58GW,产量环比增加3.8%。虽然组件供应量环比继续增加,但增幅却明显减少,相较9月份13.9%的增速下滑近10个百分点。
10月国内随着硅料供应的放开,下游各级产品产量陆续释放,硅片、电池片供应均继续保持增加的趋势,组件受上游供应”卡脖子“现象虽仍存在,但矛盾进一步缓和,同时由于国内年底传统装机旺季,组件产量随即进一步增加。
但另一方面,组件供应增速之所以较9月大幅减少,主要在于海外需求的减弱,据SMM了解造成海外需求减弱主要原因在于一方面,我国组件主要出口地区欧洲目前正面临人工短缺问题,当前劳动力已无法满足当地暴增的装机量,叠加逆变器短缺以及近期天然气价格的大跌,部分欧洲光伏装机项目已经延迟。另一方面,前期组件出口劲头过于强劲,据SMM了解,第三季度组件出口同比增速约为70%,而上半年同比增速约为100%。上半年进口量暴增导致欧洲、东南亚等多个地区积累充足的组件库存,年底需求随即减少。
对于11月,SMM了解到目前国际需求正逐渐向国内转移,虽增幅有所放缓,但预计仍将保持增长态势,同时,部分企业透露,目前个别龙头企业11月排产已超过5GW,预计11月组件产量将继续增加至28GW左右。
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